New research, published by the Children's Food Campaign in association with University of Liverpool academic Brendan Collins and Food Active, shows that if the government introduced a 20 pence per litre sugary drinks duty in England, then the impact in Yorkshire and Humber over twenty years would be to:
- reduce the cases of diabetes by nearly 5,500
- prevent over 900 cases of bowel cancer
- reduce strokes and cases of coronary heart disease by over 3,500
- save the NHS over £1.6 million a year in healthcare costs for treating those diseases
- improve the quality of life for tens of thousands of residents
The impact on calorie reduction would be greatest in places such as Bradford and Kingston upon Hull, which have the highest relative proportion of younger demographics who typically consume the most sugary drinks. The local authorities in Yorkshire and Humber set to gain the most total savings and health benefits from a sugary drinks duty are (in order): Leeds, Sheffield, Bradford and Kirklees – due partly to their larger population sizes.
CitizensUK, the alliance of local community organising groups, including groups in Leeds, said:
“Across our member schools we are finding that increasing numbers of children are showing early signs of heart disease, diabetes and poor mental health. We are calling for a Children’s Health Fund to enable a step-change in early intervention. Since there is no spare money in the NHS, we are calling for a duty on sugary drinks, which will itself reduce diabetes and obesity.”
Malcolm Clark, co-ordinator of the Children’s Food Campaign, said:
“Public health directors in North West England and in Cardiff, as well as the London Health Commission, have publicly backed a sugary drinks duty. We hope this new research encourages public health directors in Yorkshire and Humber to join their counterparts in calling for the government to introduce a nationwide duty.”
Table 1: impact of a sugary drinks duty in Yorkshire and Humber
This table is in order of greatest health cost savings over a 20 year period
Area Name |
Reduction in calories per day-mid |
Estimated change in diabetes cases over 20 years |
Estimated change in Stroke/CHD cases over 20 years |
Estimated change in Cancer cases over 20 years |
Estimated QALYs gained over 20 yeas |
Total health cost savings over 20 years (£) |
Leeds MCD |
6.62 |
-801 |
-546 |
-143 |
13475 |
£4,878,838 |
Sheffield MCD |
6.59 |
-506 |
-345 |
-90 |
8507 |
£3,080,144 |
Bradford MCD |
6.82 |
-500 |
-341 |
-89 |
8411 |
£3,045,486 |
Kirklees MCD |
6.66 |
-425 |
-290 |
-76 |
7150 |
£2,588,923 |
Wakefield MCD |
6.53 |
-362 |
-247 |
-65 |
6088 |
£2,204,109 |
East Riding of Yorkshire UA |
6.30 |
-334 |
-228 |
-60 |
5626 |
£2,037,032 |
Doncaster MCD |
6.55 |
-332 |
-226 |
-59 |
5582 |
£2,020,975 |
Kingston upon Hull UA |
6.69 |
-292 |
-199 |
-52 |
4917 |
£1,780,408 |
Rotherham MCD |
6.54 |
-274 |
-187 |
-49 |
4609 |
£1,668,849 |
Barnsley MCD |
6.53 |
-250 |
-171 |
-45 |
4210 |
£1,524,445 |
Calderdale MCD |
6.61 |
-212 |
-145 |
-38 |
3570 |
£1,292,644 |
North Lincolnshire UA |
6.48 |
-181 |
-123 |
-32 |
3045 |
£1,102,306 |
North East Lincolnshire UA |
6.51 |
-180 |
-123 |
-32 |
3026 |
£1,095,539 |
York UA |
6.46 |
-180 |
-123 |
-32 |
3024 |
£1,094,717 |
Harrogate CD |
6.45 |
-129 |
-88 |
-23 |
2177 |
£788,227 |
Scarborough CD |
6.18 |
-105 |
-71 |
-19 |
1762 |
£637,796 |
Selby CD |
6.52 |
-88 |
-60 |
-16 |
1479 |
£535,486 |
Hambleton CD |
6.32 |
-82 |
-56 |
-15 |
1372 |
£496,785 |
Richmondshire CD |
6.66 |
-55 |
-38 |
-10 |
930 |
£336,890 |
Ryedale CD |
6.27 |
-54 |
-37 |
-10 |
913 |
£330,438 |
Craven CD |
6.27 |
-49 |
-33 |
-9 |
826 |
£299,211 |
Totals |
6.50 |
-5392 |
-3675 |
-964 |
90700 |
£32,839,248 |
Table 2: Top 10 local authorities in England with greatest cost savings
This table is in order of greatest health cost savings over a 20 year period
Region | Area Name | Reduction in calories per day-mid | Estimated change in diabetes cases (over 20 years) | Estimated change in Stroke/CHD cases (over 20 years) | Estimated change in Cancer cases (over 20 years) | Estimated QALYs gained (over 20 years) | Total health cost savings (over 20 years) (£) |
England total | England | 6.51 | -48,638 | -33,150 | -8,695 | 818,151 | 296,222,417 |
West Midlands | Birmingham MCD | 6.84 | -1,049 | -715 | -188 | 17,651 | 6,390,832 |
Yorkshire and The Humber | Leeds MCD | 6.62 | -801 | -546 | -143 | 13,475 | 4,878,838 |
North East | Durham UA | 6.45 | -570 | -388 | -102 | 9,582 | 3,469,422 |
South West | Cornwall UA | 6.28 | -511 | -348 | -91 | 8,593 | 3,111,309 |
Yorkshire and The Humber | Sheffield MCD | 6.59 | -506 | -345 | -90 | 8,507 | 3,080,144 |
Yorkshire and The Humber | Bradford MCD | 6.82 | -500 | -341 | -89 | 8,411 | 3,045,486 |
South West | Wiltshire UA | 6.52 | -443 | -302 | -79 | 7,453 | 2,698,464 |
Yorkshire and The Humber | Kirklees MCD | 6.66 | -425 | -290 | -76 | 7,150 | 2,588,923 |
North West | Liverpool MCD | 6.65 | -405 | -276 | -72 | 6,820 | 2,469,206 |
North West | Manchester MCD | 6.89 | -404 | -275 | -72 | 6,788 | 2,457,657 |
Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) is a measure of the state of health of a person in which the benefits, in terms of length of life, are adjusted to reflect the quality of life. One QALY is equal to 1 year of life in perfect health. It is often measured in terms of the person's ability to perform the activities of daily life, free from pain and mental disturbance.
The Children's Food Campaign is a campaign of Sustain the alliance for better food and farming.
Full data sources and methodology can be viewed at www.childrenshealthfund.org.uk
Sugary Drinks Duty: Support the campaign for a sugary drinks duty, to pay for programmes to improve childrens health and protect the environment they grow up in.