New research, published by the Children's Food Campaign in association with University of Liverpool academic Brendan Collins and Food Active, shows that if the government introduced a 20 pence per litre sugary drinks duty in England, then the impact in the South East of England over twenty years would be to:
- reduce the cases of diabetes by over 7,500
- prevent almost 1,500 cases of bowel cancer
- reduce strokes and cases of coronary heart disease by over 5,000
- save the NHS over £2.35 million a year in healthcare costs for treating those diseases
- improve the quality of life for tens of thousands of residents
The impact on calorie reduction would be greatest in places such as Slough, Milton Keynes and Bracknell Forest, which have the highest relative proportion of younger demographics who typically consume the most sugary drinks. The local authorities in the South East of England set to gain the most total savings and health benefits from a sugary drinks duty are (in order): Medway Towns, Milton Keynes, Southampton and Brighton and Hove – due partly to their larger population sizes. View the impact in your local area www.childrenshealthfund.org.uk
Jannette Smith, spokesperson for the Brighton and Hove Food Partnership:
“We support the moves for a sugary drinks duty as one of the range of public health options to improve the health of Brighton and Hove residents, and everyone across the region. This initiative will help us to further embed our nutritional messages in our range of healthy weight programmes for adults and children.”
Malcolm Clark, co-ordinator of the Children’s Food Campaign:
“Public health directors in North West England and in Cardiff, as well as the London Health Commission, have publicly backed a sugary drinks duty. We hope this new research encourages public health directors in the South East of England to join their counterparts in calling for the government to introduce a nationwide duty.”
Table 1: impact of a sugary drinks duty in South East England
This table is in order of greatest health cost savings over a 20 year period
Area Name |
Reduction in calories per day-mid |
Estimated change in diabetes cases over 20 years |
Estimated change in Stroke/CHD cases/year |
Estimated change in Cancer cases over 20 years |
Estimated QALYs gained over 20 years |
Total health cost savings over 20 years |
Medway Towns UA |
6.74 |
-301 |
-205 |
-54 |
5070 |
£1,835,642 |
Milton Keynes UA |
6.84 |
-231 |
-157 |
-41 |
3884 |
£1,406,256 |
Southampton UA |
6.69 |
-218 |
-148 |
-39 |
3665 |
£1,326,790 |
Brighton and Hove UA |
6.66 |
-215 |
-146 |
-38 |
3609 |
£1,306,593 |
Portsmouth UA |
6.71 |
-194 |
-132 |
-35 |
3264 |
£1,181,843 |
Aylesbury Vale CD |
6.70 |
-154 |
-105 |
-28 |
2595 |
£939,568 |
Swale CD |
6.60 |
-154 |
-105 |
-28 |
2588 |
£937,038 |
New Forest CD |
6.10 |
-153 |
-104 |
-27 |
2577 |
£933,196 |
Basingstoke and Deane CD |
6.66 |
-152 |
-103 |
-27 |
2549 |
£922,991 |
Maidstone CD |
6.55 |
-149 |
-102 |
-27 |
2514 |
£910,060 |
Isle of Wight UA |
6.22 |
-147 |
-100 |
-26 |
2472 |
£894,947 |
Arun CD |
6.00 |
-142 |
-97 |
-25 |
2389 |
£864,878 |
West Berkshire UA |
6.67 |
-141 |
-96 |
-25 |
2364 |
£855,948 |
Thanet CD |
6.37 |
-137 |
-93 |
-25 |
2307 |
£835,108 |
Canterbury CD |
6.44 |
-137 |
-93 |
-24 |
2304 |
£834,067 |
Wycombe CD |
6.63 |
-133 |
-91 |
-24 |
2237 |
£809,866 |
Wealden CD |
6.25 |
-132 |
-90 |
-24 |
2225 |
£805,514 |
Cherwell CD |
6.62 |
-130 |
-88 |
-23 |
2183 |
£790,303 |
Reading UA |
6.74 |
-129 |
-88 |
-23 |
2173 |
£786,605 |
Wokingham UA |
6.65 |
-125 |
-85 |
-22 |
2100 |
£760,502 |
Reigate and Banstead CD |
6.55 |
-122 |
-83 |
-22 |
2054 |
£743,749 |
Eastleigh CD |
6.55 |
-121 |
-82 |
-22 |
2035 |
£736,805 |
Tonbridge and Malling CD |
6.63 |
-118 |
-81 |
-21 |
1989 |
£720,168 |
Mid Sussex CD |
6.52 |
-118 |
-81 |
-21 |
1988 |
£719,730 |
Ashford CD |
6.58 |
-118 |
-80 |
-21 |
1977 |
£715,812 |
Horsham CD |
6.46 |
-116 |
-79 |
-21 |
1958 |
£709,028 |
Havant CD |
6.36 |
-116 |
-79 |
-21 |
1953 |
£707,174 |
Slough UA |
6.98 |
-115 |
-79 |
-21 |
1942 |
£703,040 |
Crawley CD |
6.74 |
-114 |
-78 |
-20 |
1915 |
£693,466 |
Guildford CD |
6.58 |
-113 |
-77 |
-20 |
1906 |
£689,949 |
Dover CD |
6.40 |
-110 |
-75 |
-20 |
1858 |
£672,635 |
Gravesham CD |
6.65 |
-110 |
-75 |
-20 |
1848 |
£669,118 |
Test Valley CD |
6.47 |
-108 |
-74 |
-19 |
1817 |
£657,873 |
Bracknell Forest UA |
6.82 |
-106 |
-72 |
-19 |
1788 |
£647,225 |
Windsor and Maidenhead UA |
6.60 |
-106 |
-72 |
-19 |
1777 |
£643,537 |
Fareham CD |
6.39 |
-105 |
-72 |
-19 |
1771 |
£641,079 |
Sevenoaks CD |
6.45 |
-105 |
-72 |
-19 |
1765 |
£639,201 |
Oxford CD |
6.75 |
-104 |
-71 |
-19 |
1757 |
£636,028 |
Dartford CD |
6.70 |
-102 |
-69 |
-18 |
1712 |
£619,830 |
Shepway CD |
6.36 |
-100 |
-68 |
-18 |
1682 |
£609,046 |
South Oxfordshire CD |
6.49 |
-99 |
-68 |
-18 |
1672 |
£605,276 |
Elmbridge CD |
6.56 |
-99 |
-68 |
-18 |
1670 |
£604,631 |
Worthing CD |
6.30 |
-96 |
-66 |
-17 |
1620 |
£586,554 |
Vale of White Horse CD |
6.54 |
-95 |
-65 |
-17 |
1596 |
£577,977 |
Tunbridge Wells CD |
6.63 |
-94 |
-64 |
-17 |
1587 |
£574,414 |
Chichester CD |
6.10 |
-94 |
-64 |
-17 |
1576 |
£570,757 |
Spelthorne CD |
6.49 |
-93 |
-63 |
-17 |
1565 |
£566,574 |
Waverley CD |
6.49 |
-93 |
-63 |
-17 |
1563 |
£565,778 |
West Oxfordshire CD |
6.46 |
-92 |
-63 |
-16 |
1551 |
£561,574 |
Eastbourne CD |
6.25 |
-91 |
-62 |
-16 |
1537 |
£556,479 |
Rushmoor CD |
6.78 |
-91 |
-62 |
-16 |
1532 |
£554,763 |
East Hampshire CD |
6.47 |
-91 |
-62 |
-16 |
1530 |
£554,039 |
Hastings CD |
6.53 |
-91 |
-62 |
-16 |
1529 |
£553,721 |
Lewes CD |
6.25 |
-89 |
-61 |
-16 |
1504 |
£544,446 |
Gosport CD |
6.54 |
-86 |
-59 |
-15 |
1446 |
£523,681 |
Winchester CD |
6.49 |
-82 |
-56 |
-15 |
1383 |
£500,653 |
Woking CD |
6.60 |
-79 |
-54 |
-14 |
1330 |
£481,546 |
Runnymede CD |
6.48 |
-77 |
-52 |
-14 |
1291 |
£467,427 |
Tandridge CD |
6.50 |
-76 |
-52 |
-14 |
1277 |
£462,462 |
Rother CD |
5.97 |
-75 |
-51 |
-13 |
1261 |
£456,432 |
Hart CD |
6.60 |
-74 |
-50 |
-13 |
1240 |
£448,973 |
Surrey Heath CD |
6.60 |
-72 |
-49 |
-13 |
1214 |
£439,436 |
Mole Valley CD |
6.40 |
-67 |
-45 |
-12 |
1120 |
£405,333 |
Adur CD |
6.27 |
-64 |
-44 |
-12 |
1082 |
£391,855 |
Epsom and Ewell CD |
6.58 |
-62 |
-42 |
-11 |
1048 |
£379,308 |
Chiltern CD |
6.48 |
-62 |
-42 |
-11 |
1041 |
£376,984 |
South Bucks CD |
6.44 |
-48 |
-33 |
-9 |
808 |
£292,595 |
Totals |
6.52 |
-7736 |
-5273 |
-1383 |
130132 |
£47,115,879 |
Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) is a measure of the state of health of a person in which the benefits, in terms of length of life, are adjusted to reflect the quality of life. One QALY is equal to 1 year of life in perfect health. It is often measured in terms of the person's ability to perform the activities of daily life, free from pain and mental disturbance.
The Children's Food Campaign is a campaign of Sustain the alliance for better food and farming.
Full data sources and methodology can be viewed at www.childrenshealthfund.org.uk
Sugary Drinks Duty: Support the campaign for a sugary drinks duty, to pay for programmes to improve childrens health and protect the environment they grow up in.